Coldsnap

15-card booster (11 commons · 3 uncommons · 1 rare) · 15 cards · estimated average value $13.39

Pack prices compared with estimated typical and average contents value
Pack	Pack price	Typical (median)	Average	Average − price	Average / price
Coldsnap · Booster	$25.76 ↗	$10.14	$13.39	−$12.37	52%

Typical value (median)$10.14

Average value$13.39

Middle 80% of simulated packs$4.00 – $25.43

Estimated chance of contents worth at least$2.00 100%$5.00 83%$10.00 51%$20.00 16%$50.00 1%

Half of simulated packs are worth less than the median. These are gross singles values, before fees and shipping. The model omits some bonus cards and uses approximate slot odds.

Pack contents, odds, and calculation details

Where the value sits

Slot	Odds	×	EV
Common	common	10	$4.23
Common / foil	common 75% · foil common 18% · foil uncommon 5% · foil rare / mythic 2%	1	$2.46
Uncommon	uncommon	3	$2.10
Rare	rare / mythic	1	$4.60

A foil of any rarity replaces a common in about 1 pack in 4.
Pool: 155 booster printings; 155 priced on TCGplayer, 0 without a quote (counted as zero). common 55/55 · uncommon 55/55 · rare 40/40 · basic / other 5/5
Estimated average value under this model: $13.39. The distribution comes from 20000 simulated packs. Their mean is $13.51 ± $0.12.

Cards in the Pack

Every card a pack can hold, with the share of the pack value it carries. Chance is the expected number of copies in one pack, added up over every slot that can hold the card. EV is price times chance; the column adds up to the pack value.

Cards in one booster pack of Coldsnap, with price, chance per pack, and share of the pack value
#	Card	R	Price	Chance per pack	EV
1	Rite of Flame	C	$6.58	19.5%	$1.29
2	Boreal Druid	C	$5.27	19.5%	$1.03
3	Braid of Fire	R	$23.44	2.50%	$0.59
4	Thrumming Stone	R	$23.20	2.50%	$0.58
5	Rite of Flame foil	C	$156.84	0.325%	$0.51
6	Soul Spike	R	$17.57	2.50%	$0.44
7	Skred	C	$2.24	19.5%	$0.44
8	Arcum Dagsson	R	$16.53	2.50%	$0.41
9	Wall of Shards	U	$6.33	5.45%	$0.35
10	Commandeer	R	$11.29	2.50%	$0.28
11	Counterbalance	U	$5.14	5.45%	$0.28
12	Phyrexian Soulgorger	R	$11.01	2.50%	$0.28
13	Mishra's Bauble	U	$4.49	5.45%	$0.24
14	Dark Depths	R	$8.21	2.50%	$0.21
15	Into the North	C	$0.97	19.5%	$0.19
16	Boreal Shelf	U	$3.29	5.45%	$0.18
17	Commandeer foil	R	$389.93	0.0446%	$0.17
18	Allosaurus Rider	R	$6.40	2.50%	$0.16
19	Fury of the Horde	R	$5.84	2.50%	$0.15
20	Herald of Leshrac	R	$5.58	2.50%	$0.14
21	Karplusan Minotaur	R	$5.45	2.50%	$0.14
22	Skred foil	C	$40.50	0.325%	$0.13
23	Lightning Serpent	R	$4.78	2.50%	$0.12
24	Thermopod	C	$0.58	19.5%	$0.11
25	Boreal Druid foil	C	$34.00	0.325%	$0.11
26	Field Marshal	R	$4.39	2.50%	$0.11
27	Scrying Sheets	R	$4.34	2.50%	$0.11
28	Sheltering Ancient	U	$1.90	5.45%	$0.10
29	Arctic Flats	U	$1.81	5.45%	$0.10
30	Panglacial Wurm	R	$3.72	2.50%	$0.09
31	Rimescale Dragon	R	$3.63	2.50%	$0.09
32	Counterbalance foil	U	$92.00	0.0974%	$0.09
33	Mishra's Bauble foil	U	$77.17	0.0974%	$0.08
34	Martyr of Sands	C	$0.38	19.5%	$0.07
35	Sunscour	R	$2.84	2.50%	$0.07
36	Into the North foil	C	$21.85	0.325%	$0.07
37	Dark Depths foil	R	$151.70	0.0446%	$0.07
38	Thermal Flux	C	$0.34	19.5%	$0.07
39	Haakon, Stromgald Scourge	R	$2.56	2.50%	$0.06
40	Rime Transfusion	U	$1.16	5.45%	$0.06
41	Mouth of Ronom	U	$1.13	5.45%	$0.06
42	Coldsteel Heart	U	$1.12	5.45%	$0.06
43	Zur the Enchanter	R	$2.31	2.50%	$0.06
44	Garza Zol, Plague Queen	R	$2.30	2.50%	$0.06
45	Adarkar Valkyrie	R	$2.25	2.50%	$0.06
46	Lovisa Coldeyes	R	$2.24	2.50%	$0.06
47	Frostweb Spider	C	$0.28	19.5%	$0.05
48	Martyr of Frost	C	$0.28	19.5%	$0.05
49	Perilous Research	U	$0.99	5.45%	$0.05
50	Darien, King of Kjeldor	R	$2.15	2.50%	$0.05
51	Gelid Shackles	C	$0.27	19.5%	$0.05
52	Krovikan Mist	C	$0.27	19.5%	$0.05
53	Icefall	C	$0.25	19.5%	$0.05
54	Rune Snag	C	$0.25	19.5%	$0.05
55	Rimefeather Owl	R	$1.94	2.50%	$0.05
56	Frost Marsh	U	$0.82	5.45%	$0.04
57	Boreal Centaur	C	$0.22	19.5%	$0.04
58	Arcum Dagsson foil	R	$95.57	0.0446%	$0.04
59	Martyr of Spores	C	$0.21	19.5%	$0.04
60	Orcish Bloodpainter	C	$0.21	19.5%	$0.04
61	Martyr of Ashes	C	$0.20	19.5%	$0.04
62	Squall Drifter	C	$0.20	19.5%	$0.04
63	Ohran Viper	R	$1.52	2.50%	$0.04
64	Soul Spike foil	R	$84.79	0.0446%	$0.04
65	Gutless Ghoul	C	$0.19	19.5%	$0.04
66	Zur the Enchanter foil	R	$79.96	0.0446%	$0.04
67	Feast of Flesh	C	$0.18	19.5%	$0.04
68	Martyr of Bones	C	$0.18	19.5%	$0.04
69	Rimewind Taskmage	C	$0.18	19.5%	$0.04
70	Survivor of the Unseen	C	$0.18	19.5%	$0.04
71	Rimewind Cryomancer foil	U	$35.90	0.0974%	$0.03
72	Boreal Griffin	C	$0.16	19.5%	$0.03
73	Thermopod foil	C	$9.51	0.325%	$0.03
74	Frost Raptor	C	$0.15	19.5%	$0.03
75	Grim Harvest	C	$0.15	19.5%	$0.03
76	Tresserhorn Sinks	U	$0.53	5.45%	$0.03
77	Drelnoch	C	$0.14	19.5%	$0.03
78	Rimebound Dead	C	$0.14	19.5%	$0.03
79	Ronom Unicorn	C	$0.14	19.5%	$0.03
80	Zombie Musher	C	$0.14	19.5%	$0.03
81	Tamanoa	R	$1.08	2.50%	$0.03
82	Garza's Assassin	R	$1.03	2.50%	$0.03
83	Chill to the Bone	C	$0.13	19.5%	$0.03
84	Chilling Shade	C	$0.13	19.5%	$0.03
85	Karplusan Wolverine	C	$0.13	19.5%	$0.03
86	Hibernation's End	R	$1.01	2.50%	$0.03
87	Stromgald Crusader	U	$0.45	5.45%	$0.02
88	Frozen Solid	C	$0.12	19.5%	$0.02
89	Ronom Hulk	C	$0.12	19.5%	$0.02
90	Simian Brawler	C	$0.12	19.5%	$0.02
91	Sun's Bounty	C	$0.12	19.5%	$0.02
92	Squall Drifter foil	C	$7.00	0.325%	$0.02
93	Frost Marsh foil	U	$22.95	0.0974%	$0.02
94	Thrumming Stone foil	R	$50.00	0.0446%	$0.02
95	Darien, King of Kjeldor foil	R	$49.09	0.0446%	$0.02
96	Flashfreeze	U	$0.40	5.45%	$0.02
97	Disciple of Tevesh Szat	C	$0.11	19.5%	$0.02
98	Goblin Furrier	C	$0.11	19.5%	$0.02
99	Fury of the Horde foil	R	$48.16	0.0446%	$0.02
100	Diamond Faerie	R	$0.86	2.50%	$0.02
101	Goblin Rimerunner foil	C	$6.42	0.325%	$0.02
102	Highland Weald	U	$0.38	5.45%	$0.02
103	Goblin Rimerunner	C	$0.10	19.5%	$0.02
104	Ohran Yeti	C	$0.10	19.5%	$0.02
105	Surging Flame	C	$0.10	19.5%	$0.02
106	Surging Might	C	$0.10	19.5%	$0.02
107	Martyr of Sands foil	C	$5.97	0.325%	$0.02
108	Rimewind Cryomancer	U	$0.34	5.45%	$0.02
109	Wilderness Elemental	U	$0.34	5.45%	$0.02
110	Scrying Sheets foil	R	$41.22	0.0446%	$0.02
111	Glacial Plating	U	$0.33	5.45%	$0.02
112	Braid of Fire foil	R	$40.00	0.0446%	$0.02
113	Surging Sentinels	C	$0.09	19.5%	$0.02
114	Blizzard Specter	U	$0.31	5.45%	$0.02
115	White Shield Crusader	U	$0.31	5.45%	$0.02
116	Rimefeather Owl foil	R	$37.29	0.0446%	$0.02
117	Jötun Grunt	U	$0.30	5.45%	$0.02
118	Lightning Storm	U	$0.29	5.45%	$0.02
119	Jokulmorder	R	$0.63	2.50%	$0.02
120	Aurochs Herd	C	$0.08	19.5%	$0.02
121	Kjeldoran Javelineer	C	$0.08	19.5%	$0.02
122	Kjeldoran Outrider	C	$0.08	19.5%	$0.02
123	Ronom Serpent	C	$0.08	19.5%	$0.02
124	Sound the Call	C	$0.08	19.5%	$0.02
125	Surging Dementia	C	$0.08	19.5%	$0.02
126	Swift Maneuver	C	$0.08	19.5%	$0.02
127	Phyrexian Soulgorger foil	R	$34.93	0.0446%	$0.02
128	Thermal Flux foil	C	$4.77	0.325%	$0.02
129	Adarkar Windform	U	$0.28	5.45%	$0.02
130	Phyrexian Snowcrusher	U	$0.28	5.45%	$0.02
131	Coldsteel Heart foil	U	$15.52	0.0974%	$0.02
132	Phyrexian Ironfoot	U	$0.27	5.45%	$0.01
133	Steam Spitter	U	$0.27	5.45%	$0.01
134	Rime Transfusion foil	U	$14.97	0.0974%	$0.01
135	Drelnoch foil	C	$4.44	0.325%	$0.01
136	Resize	U	$0.26	5.45%	$0.01
137	Kjeldoran War Cry	C	$0.07	19.5%	$0.01
138	Krovikan Scoundrel	C	$0.07	19.5%	$0.01
139	Deathmark	U	$0.25	5.45%	$0.01
140	Ursine Fylgja	U	$0.25	5.45%	$0.01
141	Ronom Serpent foil	C	$4.15	0.325%	$0.01
142	Juniper Order Ranger	U	$0.24	5.45%	$0.01
143	Woolly Razorback	R	$0.51	2.50%	$0.01
144	Haakon, Stromgald Scourge foil	R	$28.25	0.0446%	$0.01
145	Balduvian Rage	U	$0.23	5.45%	$0.01
146	Mouth of Ronom foil	U	$12.68	0.0974%	$0.01
147	Heidar, Rimewind Master	R	$0.48	2.50%	$0.01
148	Controvert	U	$0.22	5.45%	$0.01
149	Rimescale Dragon foil	R	$25.73	0.0446%	$0.01
150	Arctic Nishoba	U	$0.21	5.45%	$0.01
151	Stalking Yeti	U	$0.21	5.45%	$0.01
152	Sun's Bounty foil	C	$3.52	0.325%	$0.01
153	Jester's Scepter	R	$0.45	2.50%	$0.01
154	Cover of Winter	R	$0.44	2.50%	$0.01
155	Earthen Goo	U	$0.20	5.45%	$0.01
156	Sek'Kuar, Deathkeeper foil	R	$24.29	0.0446%	$0.01
157	Adarkar Valkyrie foil	R	$23.78	0.0446%	$0.01
158	Panglacial Wurm foil	R	$23.41	0.0446%	$0.01
159	Freyalise's Radiance	U	$0.19	5.45%	$0.01
160	Mystic Melting	U	$0.19	5.45%	$0.01
161	Void Maw	R	$0.41	2.50%	$0.01
162	Balduvian Frostwaker	U	$0.18	5.45%	$0.01
163	Gristle Grinner	U	$0.18	5.45%	$0.01
164	Tresserhorn Skyknight	U	$0.18	5.45%	$0.01
165	Wall of Shards foil	U	$10.06	0.0974%	$0.01
166	Bull Aurochs	C	$0.05	19.5%	$0.01
167	Tamanoa foil	R	$21.87	0.0446%	$0.01
168	Flashfreeze foil	U	$10.00	0.0974%	$0.01
169	Shape of the Wiitigo	R	$0.38	2.50%	$0.01
170	Krovikan Whispers	U	$0.17	5.45%	$0.01
171	Herald of Leshrac foil	R	$20.49	0.0446%	$0.01
172	Vexing Sphinx	R	$0.35	2.50%	$0.01
173	Cryoclasm	U	$0.16	5.45%	$0.01
174	Greater Stone Spirit	U	$0.16	5.45%	$0.01
175	Luminesce	U	$0.16	5.45%	$0.01
176	Vanish into Memory	U	$0.16	5.45%	$0.01
177	Boreal Shelf foil	U	$8.82	0.0974%	$0.01
178	Frostweb Spider foil	C	$2.60	0.325%	$0.01
179	Allosaurus Rider foil	R	$18.70	0.0446%	$0.01
180	Sek'Kuar, Deathkeeper	R	$0.33	2.50%	$0.01
181	Balduvian Warlord	U	$0.15	5.45%	$0.01
182	Deepfire Elemental	U	$0.15	5.45%	$0.01
183	Jötun Owl Keeper	U	$0.15	5.45%	$0.01
184	Krovikan Rot	U	$0.15	5.45%	$0.01
185	Magmatic Core	U	$0.15	5.45%	$0.01
186	Gelid Shackles foil	C	$2.48	0.325%	$0.01
187	Ohran Viper foil	R	$17.97	0.0446%	$0.01
188	Highland Weald foil	U	$8.14	0.0974%	$0.01
189	Rimebound Dead foil	C	$2.44	0.325%	$0.01
190	Perilous Research foil	U	$8.00	0.0974%	$0.01
191	Rimewind Taskmage foil	C	$2.40	0.325%	$0.01
192	Survivor of the Unseen foil	C	$2.40	0.325%	$0.01
193	Brooding Saurian	R	$0.31	2.50%	$0.01
194	Phyrexian Etchings	R	$0.31	2.50%	$0.01
195	Karplusan Strider	U	$0.14	5.45%	$0.01
196	Rimehorn Aurochs	U	$0.14	5.45%	$0.01
197	Grim Harvest foil	C	$2.35	0.325%	$0.01
198	Heidar, Rimewind Master foil	R	$17.01	0.0446%	$0.01
199	Garza's Assassin foil	R	$16.99	0.0446%	$0.01
200	Chilling Shade foil	C	$2.33	0.325%	$0.01
201	Sheltering Ancient foil	U	$7.37	0.0974%	$0.01
202	Balduvian Fallen	U	$0.13	5.45%	$0.01
203	Phobian Phantasm	U	$0.13	5.45%	$0.01
204	Sunscour foil	R	$15.80	0.0446%	$0.01
205	Lightning Serpent foil	R	$15.69	0.0446%	$0.01
206	Martyr of Frost foil	C	$2.05	0.325%	$0.01
207	Arctic Flats foil	U	$6.76	0.0974%	$0.01
208	Kjeldoran Gargoyle	U	$0.12	5.45%	$0.01
209	Krovikan Mist foil	C	$2.00	0.325%	$0.01
210	Hibernation's End foil	R	$13.97	0.0446%	$0.01
211	Icefall foil	C	$1.69	0.325%	$0.01
212	Wilderness Elemental foil	U	$5.46	0.0974%	$0.01
213	Lovisa Coldeyes foil	R	$11.06	0.0446%	<$0.01
214	Field Marshal foil	R	$10.94	0.0446%	<$0.01
215	Martyr of Ashes foil	C	$1.41	0.325%	<$0.01
216	Blizzard Specter foil	U	$4.69	0.0974%	<$0.01
217	Jester's Scepter foil	R	$9.00	0.0446%	<$0.01
218	Surging Aether	C	$0.02	19.5%	<$0.01
219	Stromgald Crusader foil	U	$4.01	0.0974%	<$0.01
220	Gutless Ghoul foil	C	$1.20	0.325%	<$0.01
221	Glacial Plating foil	U	$3.99	0.0974%	<$0.01
222	Frost Raptor foil	C	$1.15	0.325%	<$0.01
223	Karplusan Minotaur foil	R	$8.23	0.0446%	<$0.01
224	Ronom Unicorn foil	C	$1.06	0.325%	<$0.01
225	Rune Snag foil	C	$1.06	0.325%	<$0.01
226	Void Maw foil	R	$7.57	0.0446%	<$0.01
227	Diamond Faerie foil	R	$7.50	0.0446%	<$0.01
228	Phyrexian Etchings foil	R	$6.91	0.0446%	<$0.01
229	Zombie Musher foil	C	$0.94	0.325%	<$0.01
230	Tresserhorn Sinks foil	U	$3.01	0.0974%	<$0.01
231	Jötun Grunt foil	U	$2.62	0.0974%	<$0.01
232	Rimehorn Aurochs foil	U	$2.60	0.0974%	<$0.01
233	Aurochs Herd foil	C	$0.75	0.325%	<$0.01
234	Lightning Storm foil	U	$2.49	0.0974%	<$0.01
235	Adarkar Windform foil	U	$2.31	0.0974%	<$0.01
236	Deathmark foil	U	$2.30	0.0974%	<$0.01
237	Shape of the Wiitigo foil	R	$5.00	0.0446%	<$0.01
238	Deepfire Elemental foil	U	$2.22	0.0974%	<$0.01
239	Boreal Griffin foil	C	$0.66	0.325%	<$0.01
240	Chill to the Bone foil	C	$0.65	0.325%	<$0.01
241	Karplusan Wolverine foil	C	$0.65	0.325%	<$0.01
242	Jötun Owl Keeper foil	U	$2.14	0.0974%	<$0.01
243	Vanish into Memory foil	U	$2.11	0.0974%	<$0.01
244	Boreal Centaur foil	C	$0.62	0.325%	<$0.01
245	Garza Zol, Plague Queen foil	R	$4.33	0.0446%	<$0.01
246	Jokulmorder foil	R	$4.16	0.0446%	<$0.01
247	Balduvian Rage foil	U	$1.86	0.0974%	<$0.01
248	Frozen Solid foil	C	$0.50	0.325%	<$0.01
249	Balduvian Warlord foil	U	$1.54	0.0974%	<$0.01
250	Sound the Call foil	C	$0.46	0.325%	<$0.01
251	Juniper Order Ranger foil	U	$1.53	0.0974%	<$0.01
252	Ursine Fylgja foil	U	$1.50	0.0974%	<$0.01
253	White Shield Crusader foil	U	$1.47	0.0974%	<$0.01
254	Krovikan Scoundrel foil	C	$0.39	0.325%	<$0.01
255	Phyrexian Ironfoot foil	U	$1.30	0.0974%	<$0.01
256	Mystic Melting foil	U	$1.29	0.0974%	<$0.01
257	Swift Maneuver foil	C	$0.38	0.325%	<$0.01
258	Phyrexian Snowcrusher foil	U	$1.24	0.0974%	<$0.01
259	Kjeldoran War Cry foil	C	$0.37	0.325%	<$0.01
260	Goblin Furrier foil	C	$0.36	0.325%	<$0.01
261	Ohran Yeti foil	C	$0.36	0.325%	<$0.01
262	Woolly Razorback foil	R	$2.53	0.0446%	<$0.01
263	Bull Aurochs foil	C	$0.34	0.325%	<$0.01
264	Disciple of Tevesh Szat foil	C	$0.33	0.325%	<$0.01
265	Kjeldoran Javelineer foil	C	$0.33	0.325%	<$0.01
266	Kjeldoran Outrider foil	C	$0.33	0.325%	<$0.01
267	Martyr of Bones foil	C	$0.33	0.325%	<$0.01
268	Martyr of Spores foil	C	$0.33	0.325%	<$0.01
269	Orcish Bloodpainter foil	C	$0.33	0.325%	<$0.01
270	Surging Might foil	C	$0.32	0.325%	<$0.01
271	Feast of Flesh foil	C	$0.30	0.325%	<$0.01
272	Stalking Yeti foil	U	$0.94	0.0974%	<$0.01
273	Surging Aether foil	C	$0.28	0.325%	<$0.01
274	Surging Dementia foil	C	$0.28	0.325%	<$0.01
275	Surging Flame foil	C	$0.28	0.325%	<$0.01
276	Surging Sentinels foil	C	$0.28	0.325%	<$0.01
277	Vexing Sphinx foil	R	$2.00	0.0446%	<$0.01
278	Brooding Saurian foil	R	$1.99	0.0446%	<$0.01
279	Cover of Winter foil	R	$1.99	0.0446%	<$0.01
280	Controvert foil	U	$0.85	0.0974%	<$0.01
281	Ronom Hulk foil	C	$0.24	0.325%	<$0.01
282	Arctic Nishoba foil	U	$0.75	0.0974%	<$0.01
283	Balduvian Fallen foil	U	$0.75	0.0974%	<$0.01
284	Balduvian Frostwaker foil	U	$0.74	0.0974%	<$0.01
285	Resize foil	U	$0.69	0.0974%	<$0.01
286	Simian Brawler foil	C	$0.20	0.325%	<$0.01
287	Cryoclasm foil	U	$0.54	0.0974%	<$0.01
288	Earthen Goo foil	U	$0.51	0.0974%	<$0.01
289	Krovikan Rot foil	U	$0.50	0.0974%	<$0.01
290	Tresserhorn Skyknight foil	U	$0.50	0.0974%	<$0.01
291	Steam Spitter foil	U	$0.49	0.0974%	<$0.01
292	Greater Stone Spirit foil	U	$0.48	0.0974%	<$0.01
293	Gristle Grinner foil	U	$0.43	0.0974%	<$0.01
294	Magmatic Core foil	U	$0.42	0.0974%	<$0.01
295	Kjeldoran Gargoyle foil	U	$0.41	0.0974%	<$0.01
296	Freyalise's Radiance foil	U	$0.40	0.0974%	<$0.01
297	Karplusan Strider foil	U	$0.40	0.0974%	<$0.01
298	Luminesce foil	U	$0.40	0.0974%	<$0.01
299	Phobian Phantasm foil	U	$0.40	0.0974%	<$0.01
300	Krovikan Whispers foil	U	$0.35	0.0974%	<$0.01
301	Snow-Covered Island	L	$2.54	0%	$0.00
302	Snow-Covered Swamp	L	$1.96	0%	$0.00
303	Snow-Covered Forest	L	$1.92	0%	$0.00
304	Snow-Covered Plains	L	$1.69	0%	$0.00
305	Snow-Covered Mountain	L	$1.19	0%	$0.00