Scourge

15-card booster (11 commons · 3 uncommons · 1 rare) · 15 cards · estimated average value $17.16

Pack prices compared with estimated typical and average contents value
Pack	Pack price	Typical (median)	Average	Average − price	Average / price
Scourge · Booster	$27.69 ↗	$12.63	$17.16	−$10.53	62%

Typical value (median)$12.63

Average value$17.16

Middle 80% of simulated packs$4.78 – $32.58

Estimated chance of contents worth at least$2.00 100%$5.00 89%$10.00 62%$20.00 26%$50.00 4%

Half of simulated packs are worth less than the median. These are gross singles values, before fees and shipping. The model omits some bonus cards and uses approximate slot odds.

Pack contents, odds, and calculation details

Where the value sits

Slot	Odds	×	EV
Common	common	10	$3.47
Common / foil	common 75% · foil common 18% · foil uncommon 5% · foil rare / mythic 2%	1	$3.16
Uncommon	uncommon	3	$5.52
Rare	rare / mythic	1	$5.01

A foil of any rarity replaces a common in about 1 pack in 4.
Pool: 143 booster printings; 143 priced on TCGplayer, 0 without a quote (counted as zero). common 55/55 · uncommon 44/44 · rare 44/44
Estimated average value under this model: $17.16. The distribution comes from 20000 simulated packs. Their mean is $17.26 ± $0.15.

Cards in the Pack

Every card a pack can hold, with the share of the pack value it carries. Chance is the expected number of copies in one pack, added up over every slot that can hold the card. EV is price times chance; the column adds up to the pack value.

Cards in one booster pack of Scourge, with price, chance per pack, and share of the pack value
#	Card	R	Price	Chance per pack	EV
1	Undead Warchief	U	$15.27	6.82%	$1.04
2	Stifle	R	$38.78	2.27%	$0.88
3	Sliver Overlord	R	$38.69	2.27%	$0.88
4	Carrion Feeder	C	$4.01	19.5%	$0.78
5	Goblin War Strike	C	$3.93	19.5%	$0.77
6	Goblin Warchief	U	$11.02	6.82%	$0.75
7	Pemmin's Aura	U	$10.12	6.82%	$0.69
8	Decree of Silence	R	$22.37	2.27%	$0.51
9	Brain Freeze	U	$7.01	6.82%	$0.48
10	Decree of Justice	R	$17.88	2.27%	$0.41
11	Long-Term Plans	U	$5.54	6.82%	$0.38
12	Brain Freeze foil	U	$276.01	0.122%	$0.34
13	Alpha Status	U	$4.69	6.82%	$0.32
14	Guilty Conscience	C	$1.46	19.5%	$0.29
15	Xantid Swarm	R	$11.34	2.27%	$0.26
16	Unspeakable Symbol	U	$3.56	6.82%	$0.24
17	Lethal Vapors	R	$10.47	2.27%	$0.24
18	Reaping the Graves	C	$1.18	19.5%	$0.23
19	Dragonspeaker Shaman	U	$3.33	6.82%	$0.23
20	Eternal Dragon	R	$9.85	2.27%	$0.22
21	One with Nature	U	$3.18	6.82%	$0.22
22	Vengeful Dead	C	$1.09	19.5%	$0.21
23	Siege-Gang Commander	R	$8.83	2.27%	$0.20
24	Faces of the Past	R	$8.66	2.27%	$0.20
25	Pyrostatic Pillar	U	$2.74	6.82%	$0.19
26	Stifle foil	R	$399.99	0.0406%	$0.16
27	Daru Warchief	U	$2.07	6.82%	$0.14
28	Carrion Feeder foil	C	$43.05	0.325%	$0.14
29	Metamorphose	U	$1.76	6.82%	$0.12
30	Tendrils of Agony	U	$1.71	6.82%	$0.12
31	Goblin Warchief foil	U	$90.85	0.122%	$0.11
32	Sulfuric Vortex	R	$4.68	2.27%	$0.11
33	Grip of Chaos	R	$4.63	2.27%	$0.11
34	Siege-Gang Commander foil	R	$250.00	0.0406%	$0.10
35	Pemmin's Aura foil	U	$79.78	0.122%	$0.10
36	Sliver Overlord foil	R	$208.89	0.0406%	$0.08
37	Dragonstorm	R	$3.65	2.27%	$0.08
38	Decree of Pain	R	$3.61	2.27%	$0.08
39	Wirewood Symbiote	U	$1.19	6.82%	$0.08
40	Mind's Desire	R	$3.43	2.27%	$0.08
41	Cabal Conditioning	R	$3.41	2.27%	$0.08
42	Karona, False God	R	$3.41	2.27%	$0.08
43	Decree of Justice foil	R	$190.02	0.0406%	$0.08
44	Scattershot	C	$0.38	19.5%	$0.07
45	Eternal Dragon foil	R	$176.11	0.0406%	$0.07
46	Decree of Silence foil	R	$172.00	0.0406%	$0.07
47	Pyrostatic Pillar foil	U	$53.93	0.122%	$0.07
48	Rush of Knowledge	C	$0.32	19.5%	$0.06
49	Treetop Scout	C	$0.32	19.5%	$0.06
50	Dragon Breath	C	$0.30	19.5%	$0.06
51	Bladewing the Risen	R	$2.55	2.27%	$0.06
52	Forgotten Ancient	R	$2.50	2.27%	$0.06
53	Guilty Conscience foil	C	$17.30	0.325%	$0.06
54	Sprouting Vines	C	$0.28	19.5%	$0.05
55	Temporal Fissure	C	$0.28	19.5%	$0.05
56	Wirewood Symbiote foil	U	$44.11	0.122%	$0.05
57	Ambush Commander	R	$2.35	2.27%	$0.05
58	Edgewalker	U	$0.78	6.82%	$0.05
59	Tendrils of Agony foil	U	$43.10	0.122%	$0.05
60	Decree of Annihilation	R	$2.26	2.27%	$0.05
61	Dragon Fangs	C	$0.26	19.5%	$0.05
62	Dragon Shadow	C	$0.26	19.5%	$0.05
63	Goblin War Strike foil	C	$15.36	0.325%	$0.05
64	Temple of the False God	U	$0.70	6.82%	$0.05
65	Fierce Empath	C	$0.24	19.5%	$0.05
66	Long-Term Plans foil	U	$36.58	0.122%	$0.04
67	Fierce Empath foil	C	$13.59	0.325%	$0.04
68	Undead Warchief foil	U	$34.24	0.122%	$0.04
69	Reaping the Graves foil	C	$12.22	0.325%	$0.04
70	Spark Spray	C	$0.20	19.5%	$0.04
71	Dragon Mage foil	R	$94.98	0.0406%	$0.04
72	Dragon Tyrant	R	$1.69	2.27%	$0.04
73	Vengeful Dead foil	C	$11.79	0.325%	$0.04
74	Dragon Mage	R	$1.67	2.27%	$0.04
75	Unspeakable Symbol foil	U	$31.09	0.122%	$0.04
76	Krosan Drover	C	$0.19	19.5%	$0.04
77	Temple of the False God foil	U	$29.45	0.122%	$0.04
78	Alpha Status foil	U	$28.34	0.122%	$0.03
79	Parallel Thoughts	R	$1.51	2.27%	$0.03
80	Ancient Ooze	R	$1.47	2.27%	$0.03
81	Daru Spiritualist	C	$0.17	19.5%	$0.03
82	Raven Guild Initiate	C	$0.17	19.5%	$0.03
83	Mind's Desire foil	R	$80.00	0.0406%	$0.03
84	Karona, False God foil	R	$79.39	0.0406%	$0.03
85	Dispersal Shield	C	$0.16	19.5%	$0.03
86	Dragon Wings	C	$0.16	19.5%	$0.03
87	Lingering Death	C	$0.16	19.5%	$0.03
88	Skulltap	C	$0.16	19.5%	$0.03
89	Daru Warchief foil	U	$25.58	0.122%	$0.03
90	Scattershot foil	C	$9.18	0.325%	$0.03
91	Dragon Scales	C	$0.15	19.5%	$0.03
92	Misguided Rage	C	$0.15	19.5%	$0.03
93	Scornful Egotist	C	$0.15	19.5%	$0.03
94	Dispersal Shield foil	C	$8.74	0.325%	$0.03
95	Edgewalker foil	U	$23.12	0.122%	$0.03
96	Lethal Vapors foil	R	$68.44	0.0406%	$0.03
97	Dragon Shadow foil	C	$8.53	0.325%	$0.03
98	Shoreline Ranger	C	$0.14	19.5%	$0.03
99	Twisted Abomination	C	$0.14	19.5%	$0.03
100	Rush of Knowledge foil	C	$8.34	0.325%	$0.03
101	Dragonspeaker Shaman foil	U	$22.07	0.122%	$0.03
102	Call to the Grave	R	$1.18	2.27%	$0.03
103	Silver Knight	U	$0.39	6.82%	$0.03
104	Twisted Abomination foil	C	$8.06	0.325%	$0.03
105	Dragonstorm foil	R	$63.99	0.0406%	$0.03
106	Accelerated Mutation	C	$0.13	19.5%	$0.03
107	Bonethorn Valesk	C	$0.13	19.5%	$0.03
108	Divergent Growth	C	$0.13	19.5%	$0.03
109	Goblin Brigand	C	$0.13	19.5%	$0.03
110	Unburden	C	$0.13	19.5%	$0.03
111	Bladewing the Risen foil	R	$59.97	0.0406%	$0.02
112	Raven Guild Master	R	$1.06	2.27%	$0.02
113	Upwelling	R	$1.06	2.27%	$0.02
114	Aphetto Runecaster	U	$0.35	6.82%	$0.02
115	Hunting Pack	U	$0.35	6.82%	$0.02
116	Hunting Pack foil	U	$19.45	0.122%	$0.02
117	Chartooth Cougar	C	$0.12	19.5%	$0.02
118	Uncontrolled Infestation	C	$0.12	19.5%	$0.02
119	Gilded Light	U	$0.34	6.82%	$0.02
120	Noble Templar foil	C	$6.85	0.325%	$0.02
121	Mischievous Quanar	R	$0.97	2.27%	$0.02
122	Extra Arms	U	$0.32	6.82%	$0.02
123	Krosan Warchief	U	$0.32	6.82%	$0.02
124	Clutch of Undeath	C	$0.11	19.5%	$0.02
125	Hindering Touch	C	$0.11	19.5%	$0.02
126	Wipe Clean	C	$0.11	19.5%	$0.02
127	Woodcloaker	C	$0.11	19.5%	$0.02
128	Zealous Inquisitor	C	$0.11	19.5%	$0.02
129	One with Nature foil	U	$16.95	0.122%	$0.02
130	Cabal Conditioning foil	R	$48.88	0.0406%	$0.02
131	Enrage	U	$0.29	6.82%	$0.02
132	Temporal Fissure foil	C	$6.08	0.325%	$0.02
133	Astral Steel	C	$0.10	19.5%	$0.02
134	Death's-Head Buzzard	C	$0.10	19.5%	$0.02
135	Frozen Solid	C	$0.10	19.5%	$0.02
136	Noble Templar	C	$0.10	19.5%	$0.02
137	Rain of Blades	U	$0.28	6.82%	$0.02
138	Metamorphose foil	U	$15.66	0.122%	$0.02
139	Wirewood Guardian foil	C	$5.60	0.325%	$0.02
140	Sprouting Vines foil	C	$5.47	0.325%	$0.02
141	Cabal Interrogator	U	$0.26	6.82%	$0.02
142	Elvish Aberration	U	$0.26	6.82%	$0.02
143	Mercurial Kite	C	$0.09	19.5%	$0.02
144	Recuperate	C	$0.09	19.5%	$0.02
145	Torrent of Fire	C	$0.09	19.5%	$0.02
146	Proteus Machine	U	$0.25	6.82%	$0.02
147	Reward the Faithful	U	$0.25	6.82%	$0.02
148	Riptide Survivor	U	$0.25	6.82%	$0.02
149	Decree of Pain foil	R	$41.66	0.0406%	$0.02
150	Sulfuric Vortex foil	R	$41.51	0.0406%	$0.02
151	Dragon Wings foil	C	$5.15	0.325%	$0.02
152	Forgotten Ancient foil	R	$39.01	0.0406%	$0.02
153	Xantid Swarm foil	R	$38.99	0.0406%	$0.02
154	Karona's Zealot	U	$0.23	6.82%	$0.02
155	Wing Shards	U	$0.23	6.82%	$0.02
156	Aven Farseer	C	$0.08	19.5%	$0.02
157	Coast Watcher	C	$0.08	19.5%	$0.02
158	Frontline Strategist	C	$0.08	19.5%	$0.02
159	Wirewood Guardian	C	$0.08	19.5%	$0.02
160	Dragon Tyrant foil	R	$37.77	0.0406%	$0.02
161	Krosan Warchief foil	U	$12.57	0.122%	$0.02
162	Mistform Warchief	U	$0.21	6.82%	$0.01
163	Dimensional Breach	R	$0.62	2.27%	$0.01
164	Cabal Interrogator foil	U	$11.33	0.122%	$0.01
165	Break Asunder	C	$0.07	19.5%	$0.01
166	Faces of the Past foil	R	$33.06	0.0406%	$0.01
167	Form of the Dragon	R	$0.59	2.27%	$0.01
168	Chartooth Cougar foil	C	$3.99	0.325%	$0.01
169	Dawn Elemental	R	$0.56	2.27%	$0.01
170	Krosan Drover foil	C	$3.87	0.325%	$0.01
171	Zombie Cutthroat foil	C	$3.84	0.325%	$0.01
172	Consumptive Goo	R	$0.54	2.27%	$0.01
173	Dragonstalker	U	$0.18	6.82%	$0.01
174	Kurgadon	U	$0.18	6.82%	$0.01
175	Soul Collector	R	$0.52	2.27%	$0.01
176	Treetop Scout foil	C	$3.63	0.325%	$0.01
177	Ark of Blight foil	U	$9.62	0.122%	$0.01
178	Silver Knight foil	U	$9.58	0.122%	$0.01
179	Ark of Blight	U	$0.17	6.82%	$0.01
180	Putrid Raptor	U	$0.17	6.82%	$0.01
181	Woodcloaker foil	C	$3.51	0.325%	$0.01
182	Day of the Dragons	R	$0.48	2.27%	$0.01
183	Dragon Fangs foil	C	$3.19	0.325%	$0.01
184	Decree of Savagery	R	$0.45	2.27%	$0.01
185	Chill Haunting	U	$0.15	6.82%	$0.01
186	Goblin Psychopath	U	$0.15	6.82%	$0.01
187	Titanic Bulvox	C	$0.05	19.5%	$0.01
188	Zombie Cutthroat	C	$0.05	19.5%	$0.01
189	Primitive Etchings	R	$0.42	2.27%	$0.01
190	Claws of Wirewood	U	$0.14	6.82%	$0.01
191	Thundercloud Elemental	U	$0.14	6.82%	$0.01
192	Nefashu	R	$0.41	2.27%	$0.01
193	Force Bubble	R	$0.40	2.27%	$0.01
194	Stabilizer	R	$0.39	2.27%	$0.01
195	Bladewing's Thrall	U	$0.13	6.82%	$0.01
196	Dragon Breath foil	C	$2.70	0.325%	$0.01
197	Nefashu foil	R	$20.76	0.0406%	$0.01
198	Ancient Ooze foil	R	$20.00	0.0406%	$0.01
199	Final Punishment	R	$0.35	2.27%	$0.01
200	Aven Liberator	C	$0.04	19.5%	$0.01
201	Rock Jockey	C	$0.04	19.5%	$0.01
202	Wing Shards foil	U	$6.28	0.122%	$0.01
203	Carbonize	U	$0.11	6.82%	$0.01
204	Decree of Annihilation foil	R	$18.18	0.0406%	$0.01
205	Aphetto Runecaster foil	U	$5.96	0.122%	$0.01
206	Daru Spiritualist foil	C	$2.06	0.325%	$0.01
207	Grip of Chaos foil	R	$16.46	0.0406%	$0.01
208	Root Elemental	R	$0.29	2.27%	$0.01
209	Parallel Thoughts foil	R	$16.12	0.0406%	$0.01
210	Ageless Sentinels	R	$0.28	2.27%	$0.01
211	Spark Spray foil	C	$1.94	0.325%	$0.01
212	Day of the Dragons foil	R	$15.18	0.0406%	$0.01
213	Call to the Grave foil	R	$15.05	0.0406%	$0.01
214	Dawn Elemental foil	R	$13.97	0.0406%	$0.01
215	Break Asunder foil	C	$1.72	0.325%	$0.01
216	Raven Guild Master foil	R	$13.44	0.0406%	$0.01
217	Soul Collector foil	R	$12.84	0.0406%	$0.01
218	Astral Steel foil	C	$1.59	0.325%	$0.01
219	Exiled Doomsayer	R	$0.22	2.27%	$0.01
220	Mischievous Quanar foil	R	$12.32	0.0406%	<$0.01
221	Skirk Volcanist	U	$0.07	6.82%	<$0.01
222	Proteus Machine foil	U	$3.76	0.122%	<$0.01
223	Reward the Faithful foil	U	$3.48	0.122%	<$0.01
224	Upwelling foil	R	$10.31	0.0406%	<$0.01
225	Form of the Dragon foil	R	$10.10	0.0406%	<$0.01
226	Fatal Mutation	U	$0.06	6.82%	<$0.01
227	Scornful Egotist foil	C	$1.23	0.325%	<$0.01
228	Shoreline Ranger foil	C	$1.19	0.325%	<$0.01
229	Trap Digger	R	$0.17	2.27%	<$0.01
230	Mistform Warchief foil	U	$3.15	0.122%	<$0.01
231	Skulltap foil	C	$1.17	0.325%	<$0.01
232	Gilded Light foil	U	$2.93	0.122%	<$0.01
233	Riptide Survivor foil	U	$2.92	0.122%	<$0.01
234	Dimensional Breach foil	R	$8.67	0.0406%	<$0.01
235	Misguided Rage foil	C	$1.06	0.325%	<$0.01
236	Rock Jockey foil	C	$1.03	0.325%	<$0.01
237	Dragon Scales foil	C	$1.02	0.325%	<$0.01
238	Raven Guild Initiate foil	C	$1.02	0.325%	<$0.01
239	Ambush Commander foil	R	$7.92	0.0406%	<$0.01
240	Divergent Growth foil	C	$0.93	0.325%	<$0.01
241	Clutch of Undeath foil	C	$0.90	0.325%	<$0.01
242	Root Elemental foil	R	$7.00	0.0406%	<$0.01
243	Bladewing's Thrall foil	U	$2.13	0.122%	<$0.01
244	Consumptive Goo foil	R	$6.25	0.0406%	<$0.01
245	Torrent of Fire foil	C	$0.78	0.325%	<$0.01
246	Lingering Death foil	C	$0.73	0.325%	<$0.01
247	Decree of Savagery foil	R	$5.66	0.0406%	<$0.01
248	Death's-Head Buzzard foil	C	$0.68	0.325%	<$0.01
249	Titanic Bulvox foil	C	$0.65	0.325%	<$0.01
250	Unburden foil	C	$0.64	0.325%	<$0.01
251	Force Bubble foil	R	$4.90	0.0406%	<$0.01
252	Aven Liberator foil	C	$0.61	0.325%	<$0.01
253	Aven Farseer foil	C	$0.56	0.325%	<$0.01
254	Bonethorn Valesk foil	C	$0.53	0.325%	<$0.01
255	Coast Watcher foil	C	$0.52	0.325%	<$0.01
256	Wipe Clean foil	C	$0.52	0.325%	<$0.01
257	Accelerated Mutation foil	C	$0.51	0.325%	<$0.01
258	Mercurial Kite foil	C	$0.50	0.325%	<$0.01
259	Zealous Inquisitor foil	C	$0.50	0.325%	<$0.01
260	Frozen Solid foil	C	$0.49	0.325%	<$0.01
261	Hindering Touch foil	C	$0.48	0.325%	<$0.01
262	Uncontrolled Infestation foil	C	$0.48	0.325%	<$0.01
263	Recuperate foil	C	$0.47	0.325%	<$0.01
264	Chill Haunting foil	U	$1.24	0.122%	<$0.01
265	Putrid Raptor foil	U	$1.24	0.122%	<$0.01
266	Frontline Strategist foil	C	$0.45	0.325%	<$0.01
267	Goblin Brigand foil	C	$0.45	0.325%	<$0.01
268	Skirk Volcanist foil	U	$1.19	0.122%	<$0.01
269	Final Punishment foil	R	$3.24	0.0406%	<$0.01
270	Stabilizer foil	R	$3.19	0.0406%	<$0.01
271	Rain of Blades foil	U	$1.01	0.122%	<$0.01
272	Primitive Etchings foil	R	$2.59	0.0406%	<$0.01
273	Enrage foil	U	$0.72	0.122%	<$0.01
274	Dragonstalker foil	U	$0.70	0.122%	<$0.01
275	Karona's Zealot foil	U	$0.70	0.122%	<$0.01
276	Carbonize foil	U	$0.69	0.122%	<$0.01
277	Trap Digger foil	R	$2.00	0.0406%	<$0.01
278	Elvish Aberration foil	U	$0.58	0.122%	<$0.01
279	Thundercloud Elemental foil	U	$0.52	0.122%	<$0.01
280	Kurgadon foil	U	$0.51	0.122%	<$0.01
281	Extra Arms foil	U	$0.49	0.122%	<$0.01
282	Ageless Sentinels foil	R	$1.31	0.0406%	<$0.01
283	Goblin Psychopath foil	U	$0.40	0.122%	<$0.01
284	Claws of Wirewood foil	U	$0.39	0.122%	<$0.01
285	Fatal Mutation foil	U	$0.39	0.122%	<$0.01
286	Exiled Doomsayer foil	R	$0.50	0.0406%	<$0.01